How Do You Define Success?

It’s been a while since I posted. I am back! Did you miss me?

Due to a current internship at a financial institution, I won’t post any security related ideas. However, I wanted to talk to you all about something.

How. Do. You. Define. Success?

It is a question I have asked over 50 people in the past five weeks. The respondents’ age range from 17 to about 50, and is in or pursing profession in financial services to journalism sector. The answers are very different, and there seems to be a pattern.

  • Low range spectrum aged (17-24) people’s responses are generally “money money money.”
  • Midrange spectrum aged (25-33) people’s responses are generally “being fulfilled.”
  • Upper range spectrum aged (34-50) people’s responses are generally “being able to care of my family.”

See a pattern? I bet you do. Wait for a second, I said their “responses are generally.”

Some people in all three spectrums of age said “being happy.” Common answers to be happy include family, friends, and career (power and/or money).

‘Success’ Synonyms                                                                                                                                               Source: Thesaurus

How do you define success? I believe there are two different categories of success: Professional success and personal success.

Professional Success

I have achieved a professional success when I enjoy my work and people are able to criticize without being afraid of retaliation.

Past criticisms and experiences from trading to internships are the main reasons my professional success is higher than before. Turning their critical feedback into a compliment has allowed me to feel good and improve.

But then, there’s another question. How do you achieve that professional success? That’s where your goals come in. Ask yourself, “Will achieving my goals help me realize my definition of professional success?”

Personal Success

I have achieved a personal success when my quality of relationships is high.

Past criticisms and life experiences from in-depth conversations to heartbreaks are the main reasons my personal success is higher than before.

Once again, there’s another question. How do you achieve that personal success? That’s where your goals come in. Ask yourself, “Will achieving my goals help me realize my definition of personal success?”

PaP Success

Does professional and personal success intersect? Yes. If one is missing, you might not feel “fulfilled.”

  • Which one is more important?
  • Does your professional success depend on your personal life?
  • Does your personal success depend on your professional life?

The answers are different for everyone. It is up to you to determine for yourself. I cannot define them for you because it comes from own experiences. It is possible for my answers to the questions to change anytime.

                                   Goals                                                                                      Success

 

 

 

 

 

No one is perfect, but everyone is perfect in their own way.

Know Yourself!

Love Yourself!

Seek experiences and criticisms!

Couple of Announcements

1st Announcement

On the morning of Wednesday, May 10, I decided to check the Facebook notifications. Before I can check it, the first thing I see on the timeline is an article from Wall Street Journal (WSJ) that a friend shared a couple of minutes before. The article was titled “Sorry, Harvard and Yale, the Trading Whiz Kids Are at Baruch College.”

Baruch College, a city college that I attend, got mentioned on WSJ. Big deal. And it has to do with trading. Big deal.

Minutes after I finished reading the article that morning, the article started spreading around like a wildfire. It was the talk of the town.

The next day, I decided to stop by the trading floor at my college quickly to export important statistics to PDF. What I didn’t know was that CNBC was about to go live.

So I’m sitting on Bloomberg Terminal desk with a trader discussing the current events and S&P 500. We were in a deep conversation and CNBC decided to live stream a portion of our passionate conversation…on mute, unfortunately.

Khojinur Usmonov discussing the current events and S&P 500 Index with another trader
Source: CNBC, “Nation’s top trading club comes from New York public college

First I was interview by Bloomberg. Now, I was on CNBC live, but not interviewed. In other words, millions of people watching CNBC did not know my name. Say my name.

Interviewed By Bloomberg

I’m proud of Baruch College.

2nd Announcement

Read this thread:

As to blogging, I’m not 100% sure if I will be able to write articles. If I can, I plan to write it and publish it here on Out of WACC. If not, you won’t see new articles until the end of August/early September.

Biggest Failure of My Career: Hedge Fund Club

 

Do not train a child to learn by force or harshness; but direct them to it by what amuses their minds, so that you may be better able to discover with accuracy the peculiar bent of the genius of each. ― Plato

It is Wednesday, February 27, 2013. I’m giving a speech in front of 50-70 people on why they should elect me as their treasurer for Key Club at Edward R. Murrow high school.

During my junior year in high school, I became a member of Key Club, an organization which provides its members with opportunities to provide service, build character and develop leadership. This was the first club I ever joined, after avoiding all clubs and school events for 2 years.

After the speeches for all positions, members were to vote a person of their choice for each position. Unfortunately, I became in 2nd place for the treasury role. Well actually, I was in the last place since there were only two people running for the position. It was not a big deal for me anyway.

Several months later, I was sitting in my room staring at the news and currency charts. I was thinking about my future; college and career.

As I was thinking, I promised myself I would open my own club in college. What kind of club? I don’t know. But, I will open a club. Only time will tell.

A year later, I’m sitting in the same room staring at the news and currency/equity charts. I was weighting the costs and benefits of attending certain colleges. After being rejected from my number one choice, Columbia University, I had to choice between Binghamton University and Baruch College.

Why not Binghamton? Tuition was over $24,000, $14K had to come out of my own pocket (unless I got scholarships; not guaranteed). In others words, I would had to take out a student loan, which I promised I would never take. Lastly, the campus was four hours away from the financial capital of the world; New York City.

On the other hand, one major reason I wanted Binghamton was that I would move out from my parent’s house and be independent. But, the benefits were heavier on Baruch’s side. To this day, I still live with my parents; rent-free with……um……no……um……..no responsibilities.

During my first semester at the city university, I started going to Finance & Economics Society (FES) club. At the end of the semester, they were few positions open, one of them: Sales & Trading. I applied for it, got interviewed, and got accepted into the program. I got accepted not because I stood out from the crowd, but because there was no competition at all.

Joining a club with some smart people that conducted themselves professionally, was uncomfortable for me. A confront zone is a beautiful place, nothing ever grows there.

Over the next three semesters at FES, I learned incredibly so much both career-wise and personal-wise. Two important skills I gained were debating and leadership, thanks to Kenneth Tjonasam and the team. As the director of the S&T program, Kenneth challenged me and others to give our own ideas and asked us tough questions when we gave it. And he did much more than that.

Charles Schwab got paid a million dollars a year in 1920s, because of his leadership skills;

Why did Andrew Carnegie pay a million dollars a year, or more than three thousand dollars a day, to Charles Schwab? Why? Because Schwab was a genius? No. Because he knew more about the manufacture of steel than other people? Nonsense. Charles Schwab told me (Dale Carnegie) himself that he had many men working for him who know more about the manufacture of steel than he did.
Schwab says that he was paid this salary largely because of his ability to deal with people.

That’s how good Kenneth was. Except in this part, he is also a genius.

In the middle of sophomore year, I had a flashback; sitting in my room and promising myself I would open a club. At the time of the flashback, I was sitting in my room staring at the news and currency/equity/commodity charts. Without contemplating, I planned to start Hedge Fund Club (HFC).

I wanted to share my passion with others and give back to the Baruch community. The purpose of HFC was;

Hedge Fund Club’s purpose is to trade financial instruments actively while allocating different asset classes effectively. To maximize capital and minimize risks, the club will use top-down approach and technical analysis to find the best investment opportunities. The club will offer opportunities for the Baruch Community to get know the hedge fund industry and network with the people in the industry, developing Baruch College’s exposure to the hedge fund industry.

Over the next several months, I filled out the papers the student government wanted, in addition to finding a club adviser. My team and I chose Bruce Kamich, well respected and highly talented technical analyst professor at Baruch College. Professor Kamich was the best fit for the HFC’s mission and I’m thankful for his advice. I have yet to take his class.

And finally, the student government asked my team to hold three HFC meetings before an interview with them to get the club chartered.

My team (Vice-President – Thomas Jing, Secretary – Jamal Moody, and Treasurer – Jinay Shah) and I held the meetings in April and May, attaining 14 members. For the undisclosed reasons, the interview was forwarded to early September. Over the summer, I along with my team worked on most of the PT presentations and outlined the meetings for the fall semester. September came and there still was no interview. To sum up, there’s no HFC anymore (unless someone else starts it).

I take full responsibility for the failure of Hedge Fund Club. This is the biggest failure of my career. And this will definitely go into my book.

The reasons for the failure is classified. It will be declassified in my book, or when I’m on the cover of Forbes. (Few people know at this time).

I will continue to guide people who might be interested in markets/trading/technical analysis/investing/blogging. I will continue to meet with them during my own time.  I will continue to have conversations with them. I will continue to debate with them. I will continue to ask “why” if the reasons are not clarified.

While the vision and the goals for HFC will not see a light anymore, I will let it shine after college. I plan to create my own program and/or join a mentorship program.

I have seen extremely talented students. I want to make sure they use their brain for something they love. I have seen students with a strong curiosity in a subject (mostly finance related). I want to make sure they continue to build their knowledge foundation and guide them, but it’s up to them to choose which road to take. I have seen students with no clue what they want to do when they grow up. I want to make sure they go out of their confront zone and try out new things.

Wander around the unknown and you might just discover your passion. – Khojinur Usmonov

Interviewed By Bloomberg

In the morning of Friday, July 15th, I’m going to the lower Manhattan, where I will meet my mentor from NYSSA SEMI Program. During the commute, I’m thinking about the current events, my trading strategies and how handsome I am.

While I’m waiting for her, I sit down and chill. By chill, I mean looking at the prices of stocks and currencies, and checking Twitter (news junkie).

While I’m staring at my phone, someone comes up and introduces himself. He explains a story they’re trying to pursue, “How to Stay Cool in Summer While Wearing a Suit”, and he wants to take a photo of myself and ask few questions.

Why not?

After the picture and questions, I ask what media the story is for. He said “Bloomberg Pursuits.”

I never heard of “Bloomberg Pursuits”, but I sure have heard of “Bloomberg.” In my mind, I was thinking “I made it!!!”

But, the story is directly about fashion, not finance. I have always thought of being on Bloomberg, talking about the financial markets. That will happen soon. I don’t know when, but I’m confident it will happen.

This was a great memorable experience. There’s more to come. I will be on Bloomberg countless times.

One question: After how many interviews by the media, will I get used to it?

Stay tuned…


How to Stay Cool in Summer While Wearing a Suit

Photography by: Keith E. Morrison/Bloomberg
Photography by: Keith E. Morrison/Bloomberg

Notice

Hello readers and all,

In the next 8 days, I won’t be posting any articles as I get ready for my finals at Baruch College. I understand last week’s events (jobs reports, ECB, etc) are important and I plan to write about them. I also understand the Fed will be meeting next week. I will be writing about all of them after I’m done with the finals.

I just wanted to give a quick summary of what I think. I believe there’s a lot of risks for a rate-hike. Suchs risks include, lack of liquidity due to regulations, widening divergence between the Fed and many other central banks (ECB, BoJ, etc), junk bonds, and more. I will post an article about the risks.

I believe the Fed will raise rates by 0.10%, instead of 0.25%. Current probability of 25 basis points rate-hike stands above 80%. Thus, the Fed has to raise rates or they will lose their credibility. I believe 0.25% is too risky and 0.25% increase will backfire on them as I believe there are too much of risks.

I’m always on Twitter. You can tweet me your questions, comments, etc and I will respond within 24 hours. If you would like to discuss the financial news with me, feel free to contact me privately. Thank you.

Meeting Ben Bernanke: The Day I Will Remember Forever

Last Wednesday (October 7, 2015), I had a chance to meet Ben Bernanke, former chairman of the Federal Reserve and the most powerful man in the world (well, was).

Not that I got a handshake, but got to ask a question.

So how did I get to meet him? It was part of WSJ Pro Central Banking events.

Recently, Wall Street Journal introduced a subscription service, “WSJ Pro”. It debuted with WSJ Pro Central Banking. Its parent company, Dow Jones, describes it as a “premium suite of industry and subject-specific content services, combining news, data, and events in a single membership platform.” The key word is “events”. “Events” is what I love about the subscription. “Events” in other words mean, meeting high-profile people and networking with people in the financial industry.

I had a free access for a while, but now that’s gone. During my trial, I registered for two events, “Breakfast Interview Series: William Dudley” and “Breakfast Interview Series: Ben Bernanke”. I was lucky enough to be chosen to go to both of them.

The event with William Dudley, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, took place on September 28. Did not get a chance to ask a question. Nevertheless, great event. Full video of the interview can be found here.

The event with Ben Bernanke took place on October 7. I was so excited for this particular event. Well, who doesn’t want to meet Ben Bernanke? I woke up on 4:30 in the morning and left my house at 6:45 AM. I got to the location of the event by about 7:50. When I checked in, I got an autographed copy of Mr. Bernanke’s new book, “The Courage to Act.” Signed, Sealed, Delivered.

It wasn’t until 8:30 AM when Mr. Bernanke entered the room, getting me and others excited. Along with him, there was WSJ’s Chief Economics Correspondent, Jon Hilsenrath, who also interviewed William Dudley the week before.

During the Q&A session, I got a chance to ask a question. I was so excited and confident. I strongly believed that I was not nervous at all. But, that wasn’t the case.

When I got handed the microphone, I instantly went blind. I forgot most of what I was going to say. It was like Warren Buffett, my idol, interviewing me for a job.

The first word out of my mouth was “student”, when I actually should have stated my name. Asking a question to a person like Ben Bernanke got me so nervous, I mumbled and rambled during my question. My question basically was, “If you were the president, what would you do about the taxes, corporate taxes, which is too high?”

Full video of the interview can be found here. I can be heard asking the question at 42:30.

I asked it because I strongly believe U.S. corporate taxes are too high, causing inversions. Although I got a reasonable answer, I believe I would have gotten better answer if I asked the question in a different way.

My first encounter with a high-profile person made me so nervous, yet taught me a big lesson. It significantly improved my confidence and ability to ask a question (to a high-profile person) without being so nervous. Who’s the next high-profile person I will meet? Janet Yellen?

A short video of Mr. Bernanke leaving the “stage”

A picture of Mr. Bernanke leaving the “stage”

Screenshot_2015-10-07-10-40-50 (3)

 

I will forever remember this day, October 7, 2015.

Thank you, Wall Street Journal.


UPDATE: At the event when I was asking the question,

WSJ (2)

YouTube Channel

First YouTube video is up. In this video, I go over technical analysis for EUR/USD.

 

Click here for the video, or copy and paste https://youtu.be/tXF4_aCgSxs

 

Feel free to leave your questions/views. I would appreciate your take on what I need to improve on. I believe the YouTube page will improve my speech as I continue to do more videos. Thank you.

US Retail Sales

Yesterday, on January 14, 2014, the U.S Census Bureau released Retail Sales data for the month of December, 2014. It was disappointing and unexpected. Retail sales fell 0.9% (-0.9%) in December (+0.4% in previous month). “Core” retail sales (excludes the prices of autos and gas), fell 1.0% (-1.0%) in December (0.1% in previous month).

Plunging oil prices led to to a 6.5% drop in gasoline sales, the largest drop since 2008. In December, many people and media were saying that the holiday sales were going to be strong. Economic recovery and the falling gas prices would lead consumers to spend their hard earned money in other areas, such as department stores, etc. Yesterday’s release told us otherwise. Excluding auto and gas, retail sales fell 0.3%, (expected gain around 0.4%). Retailers that did well, are bars, restaurants and stores that sell home furnishings. December is one of the months that many people party. Therefore bars and restaurants did well. Many people might like to start their new year by clean and fresh furnishings in their home. That’s why home furnishings did well. I believe the drop in retail sales are only temporary, for now. We never know what future might hold.

I believe technology will be successful more than anything (except needs; foods and drinks). Late 1990s and early 2000s transformed, especially young people into whole new generation. 2015 will be the beginning stage of new era of technology (again). Drones and 3-D printing, google glass and “The Internet of Things” will start to go into mass-market. I think we are too early for drive-less cars to go into masses (maybe, in 2 years). People will be wanting to try the new technology. 3-D printing will lead to many inventions, making certain market more competitive. Drones and google glass will probably transfer people into being photographer or not. New things will be added into existing products, emotionally leading people to buy them.

One wrong move from the government or large companies (that have significant impact on the economy including jobs, etc) will either slow down and shut down “economic recovery”, leading to another crisis.

 

NZD/USD Technical Analysis

NZD/USD 1H Chart
NZD/USD 1H Chart
NZD/USD Daily Chart
NZD/USD Daily Chart

Shorted around 0.7820. As of right now, it’s still open.

Trade at your own risk. These are my own opinions and analysis.

Note: The screenshots were taken around the night of Jan 12, 2015.

 

1H Chart:

It’s false breakout because the candlesticks did not close above the line. It’s a weak hammer because it’s in the middle. Stronger hammers should appear on bottom in a clear trend.

OU – Opposite of U                                                                                                                                                                                  I made up OU because of my experience in chart analysis. I realized that formations like that have strong impact most of the time. It consists of 3 candlesticks. OU can appear anywhere. It signals bearish market.  For it to signal bullish market, it has to be in a formation of U. It doesn’t matter what the color of middle candlestick. But it has to be a small body or a doji. First and last candlestick has to be about the same body size with each other.

 

Daily Chart:

I said “more like Double bottom” because it’s not in a “perfect condition” of how real double bottom should look like. It’s in a “good” or “75% out of 100% condition”

As you can see, doji was backed or supported by strong support line.

Bearish Engulfing Pattern was very strong because it was backed or supported by resistance and trend line. It was also supported by small body or doji. Forex market is open 24 hours. You may be asking “why is there gap between doji and first candlestick of engulfing pattern?” The answer is that the doji was closed on Friday 5 P.M and first candlestick of engulfing pattern opened on Sunday 5 P.M.

 

If you have any questions, feel free to contact me anytime.